#PAGE_PARAMS# #ADS_HEAD_SCRIPTS# #MICRODATA#

Child morbidity and mortality associated with alternative policy responses to the economic crisis in Brazil: A nationwide microsimulation study


In a modeling study, Davide Rasella and colleagues investigate the possible consequences for child illness and mortality of different levels of coverage by social protection programs in Brazil.


Vyšlo v časopise: Child morbidity and mortality associated with alternative policy responses to the economic crisis in Brazil: A nationwide microsimulation study. PLoS Med 15(5): e32767. doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1002570
Kategorie: Research Article
prolekare.web.journal.doi_sk: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1002570

Souhrn

In a modeling study, Davide Rasella and colleagues investigate the possible consequences for child illness and mortality of different levels of coverage by social protection programs in Brazil.


Zdroje

1. Parmar D, Stavropoulou C, Ioannidis JP. Health outcomes during the 2008 financial crisis in Europe: systematic literature review. BMJ. 2016;354:i4588. doi: 10.1136/bmj.i4588 27601477

2. Rajmil L, de Sanmamed M-JF, Choonara I, Faresjö T, Hjern A, Kozyrskyj AL, et al. Impact of the 2008 economic and financial crisis on child health: a systematic review. Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2014;11(6):6528–46. doi: 10.3390/ijerph110606528 25019121

3. Gunnlaugsson G. Child health in times of austerity as a result of the economic crisis that started in 2008. Acta Paediatr. 2016;105(2):125–6. doi: 10.1111/apa.13262 26751419

4. Rasella D, Aquino R, Santos CAT, Paes-Sousa R, Barreto ML. Effect of a conditional cash transfer programme on childhood mortality: a nationwide analysis of Brazilian municipalities. Lancet. 2013;382(9886):57–64. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(13)60715-1 23683599

5. Ranganathan M, Lagarde M. Promoting healthy behaviours and improving health outcomes in low and middle income countries: a review of the impact of conditional cash transfer programmes. Prev Med. 2012;55:S95–105. doi: 10.1016/j.ypmed.2011.11.015 22178043

6. Oreiro JL. [The great Brazilian recession: diagnosis and an economic policy agenda.] Avançados. 2017;31(89):75–88.

7. Skoufias E, Nakamura S, Gukovas RM. Safeguarding against a reversal in social gains during the economic crisis in Brazil. Working Paper 112896. Washington (DC): World Bank; 2017.

8. Paiva AB, Mesquita ACS, Jaccoud L, Passos L. [The new tax regime and its implications for social assistance policy in Brazil.] Technical Note No. 27. Brasilia: Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada; 2016.

9. Vieira FS, Benevides RPdSe. [The impacts of the new tax regime for the financing of the unified health system and for the realization of the right to health in Brazil.] Technical Note No. 28. Brasilia: Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada; 2016.

10. World Bank. Data: Brazil. Washington (DC): World Bank; 2018 [cited 2018 Apr 24]. Available from: https://data.worldbank.org/country/Brazil.

11. Fosu AK. Growth, inequality, and poverty reduction in developing countries: recent global evidence. Res Econ. 2017;71(2):306–36.

12. Rossi P, Dweck E. Impacts of the new fiscal regime on health and education. Cad Saude Publica. 2016;32:12–5.

13. de Souza LEPF. The right to health in Brazil: a constitutional guarantee threatened by fiscal austerity. J Public Health Policy. 2017;38(4):493–502. doi: 10.1057/s41271-017-0083-y 28659606

14. Doniec K, Dall’Alba R, King L. Austerity threatens universal health coverage in Brazil. Lancet. 2016;388(10047):867–8. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)31428-3 27597461

15. Rasella D, Aquino R, Barreto ML. Reducing childhood mortality from diarrhea and lower respiratory tract infections in Brazil. Pediatrics. 2010;126(3):e534–40. doi: 10.1542/peds.2009-3197 20679307

16. Hone T, Rasella D, Barreto ML, Majeed A, Millett C. Association between expansion of primary healthcare and racial inequalities in mortality amenable to primary care in Brazil: a national longitudinal analysis. PLoS Med. 2017;14(5):e1002306. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1002306 28557989

17. Lindert K, Linder A, Hobbs J, De la Brière B. The nuts and bolts of Brazil’s Bolsa Família Program: implementing conditional cash transfers in a decentralized context. Washington (DC): World Bank; 2007.

18. Paes-Sousa R, Santos LMP, Miazaki ÉS. Effects of a conditional cash transfer programme on child nutrition in Brazil. Bull World Health Organ. 2011;89(7):496–503. doi: 10.2471/BLT.10.084202 21734763

19. Basu S, Vellakkal S, Agrawal S, Stuckler D, Popkin B, Ebrahim S. Averting obesity and type 2 diabetes in India through sugar-sweetened beverage taxation: an economic-epidemiologic modeling study. PLoS Med. 2014;11(1):e1001582. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001582 24409102

20. Abraham JM. Using microsimulation models to inform US health policy making. Health Serv Res. 2013;48(2pt2):686–95.

21. Rutter CM, Zaslavsky AM, Feuer EJ. Dynamic microsimulation models for health outcomes: a review. Med Decis Making. 2011;31(1):10–8. doi: 10.1177/0272989X10369005 20484091

22. Kypridemos C, Allen K, Hickey GL, Guzman-Castillo M, Bandosz P, Buchan I, et al. Cardiovascular screening to reduce the burden from cardiovascular disease: microsimulation study to quantify policy options. BMJ. 2016;353:i2793. doi: 10.1136/bmj.i2793 27279346

23. Shahidur RK, Koolwal GB, Samad HA. Handbook on impact evaluation: quantitative methods and practices. Washington (DC): World Bank; 2010.

24. Caro JJ, Briggs AH, Siebert U, Kuntz KM. Modeling good research practices—overview: a report of the ISPOR-SMDM Modeling Good Research Practices Task Force–1. Med Decis Making. 2012;32(5):667–77. doi: 10.1177/0272989X12454577 22990082

25. Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística. Censos demográfico 2010. Rio de Janeiro: Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística; 2018 [cited 2018 May 2]. Available from: https://ww2.ibge.gov.br/home/estatistica/populacao/censo2010/default.shtm.

26. Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística. Pesquisa Nacional por Amostra de Domicílios—2015. Rio de Janeiro: Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística; 2018 [cited 2018 May 2]. Available from: https://ww2.ibge.gov.br/home/estatistica/populacao/trabalhoerendimento/pnad2015/default.shtm.

27. Ministério da Saúde Departamento de Atenção Básica. Histórico de cobertura. Brasilia: Ministério da Saúde Departamento de Atenção Básica; 2018 [cited 2018 May 2]. Available from: https://egestorab.saude.gov.br/paginas/acessoPublico/relatorios/relHistoricoCobertura.xhtml.

28. Ministerio do Desenvolvimento Social e Combate a Fome. Matriz de informação social. Rio de Janeiro: Ministerio do Desenvolvimento Social e Combate a Fome; 2018 [cited 2018 Apr 24]. Available from: http://aplicacoes.mds.gov.br/sagi/mi2007/tabelas/mi_social.php.

29. Ministério da Saúde. DATASUS: informações de saúde (TABNET). Rio de Janeiro: Ministério da Saúde; 2018 [cited 2018 Apr 24]. Available from: http://tabnet.datasus.gov.br/.

30. World Health Organization. Handbook on health inequality monitoring: with a special focus on low- and middle-income countries. Geneva: World Health Organization; 2013.

31. Fleury S. The welfare state in Latin America: reform, innovation and fatigue. Cad Saude Publica. 2017;33(2):e00058116.

32. Rajmil L, Siddiqi A, Taylor-Robinson D, Spencer N. Understanding the impact of the economic crisis on child health: the case of Spain. Int J Equity Health. 2015;14(1):95.

33. Filippidis FT, Gerovasili V, Millett C, Tountas Y. Medium-term impact of the economic crisis on mortality, health-related behaviours and access to healthcare in Greece. Sci Rep. 2017;7:46423. doi: 10.1038/srep46423 28393903

34. Christian P. Impact of the economic crisis and increase in food prices on child mortality: exploring nutritional pathways. J Nutr. 2010;140(1):177S–81S. doi: 10.3945/jn.109.111708 19923384

35. Friedman J, Schady N. How many infants likely died in Africa as a result of the 2008–2009 global financial crisis? Health Econ. 2013;22(5):611–22. doi: 10.1002/hec.2818 22544811

36. Sulaiman M, Sulaiman M, Parveen M, Das NC. Impact of the food price hike on nutritional status of women and children. Dhaka: BRAC; 2009 [cited 2018 Apr 24]. Available from: http://research.brac.net/new/ebook/Publication/143-Impact-of-the-Food-Price-Hike-on-Nutritional-Status-of-Women-and-Children.

37. Jones G, Steketee RW, Black RE, Bhutta ZA, Morris SS, Bellagio Child Survival Study Group. How many child deaths can we prevent this year? Lancet. 2003;362(9377):65–71. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(03)13811-1 12853204

38. Friedberg MW, Hussey PS, Schneider EC. Primary care: a critical review of the evidence on quality and costs of health care. Health Aff (Millwood). 2010;29(5):766–72.

39. Lagarde M, Haines A, Palmer N. The impact of conditional cash transfers on health outcomes and use of health services in low and middle income countries. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2009;4:CD008137.

40. Martins AP, Monteiro CA. Impact of the Bolsa Família program on food availability of low-income Brazilian families: a quasi experimental study. BMC Public Health. 2016;16(1):827. doi: 10.1186/s12889-016-3486-y 27538516

41. Guanais FC. The combined effects of the expansion of primary health care and conditional cash transfers on infant mortality in Brazil, 1998–2010. Am J Public Health. 2013;103(11):2000–6. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2013.301452 24028257

42. Aquino R, de Oliveira NF, Barreto ML. Impact of the family health program on infant mortality in Brazilian municipalities. Am J Public Health. 2009;99(1):87–93. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2007.127480 19008516

43. Barros AR, Athias D. Minimum wage, Bolsa Família and recent relative performance of the Northeast. Rev Econ Polit. 2013;33(1):179–99.

44. Rasella D, Harhay MO, Pamponet ML, Aquino R, Barreto ML. Impact of primary health care on mortality from heart and cerebrovascular diseases in Brazil: a nationwide analysis of longitudinal data. BMJ. 2014;349:g4014. doi: 10.1136/bmj.g4014 24994807

45. Macinko J1, Harris MJ. Brazil’s family health strategy—delivering community-based primary care in a universal health system. N Engl J Med. 2015;372(23):2177–81. doi: 10.1056/NEJMp1501140 26039598

46. Barreto ML, Rasella D, Machado DB, Aquino R, Lima D, Garcia LP, et al. Monitoring and evaluating progress towards universal health coverage in Brazil. PLoS Med. 2014;11(9):e1001692. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001692 25243676

Štítky
Interné lekárstvo

Článok vyšiel v časopise

PLOS Medicine


2018 Číslo 5
Najčítanejšie tento týždeň
Najčítanejšie v tomto čísle
Kurzy

Zvýšte si kvalifikáciu online z pohodlia domova

Získaná hemofilie - Povědomí o nemoci a její diagnostika
nový kurz

Eozinofilní granulomatóza s polyangiitidou
Autori: doc. MUDr. Martina Doubková, Ph.D.

Všetky kurzy
Prihlásenie
Zabudnuté heslo

Zadajte e-mailovú adresu, s ktorou ste vytvárali účet. Budú Vám na ňu zasielané informácie k nastaveniu nového hesla.

Prihlásenie

Nemáte účet?  Registrujte sa

#ADS_BOTTOM_SCRIPTS#