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Estimates of Outcomes Up to Ten Years after Stroke: Analysis from the Prospective South London Stroke Register


Background:
Although stroke is acknowledged as a long-term condition, population

estimates of outcomes longer term are lacking. Such estimates would be

useful for planning health services and developing research that might

ultimately improve outcomes. This burden of disease study provides

population-based estimates of outcomes with a focus on disability,

cognition, and psychological outcomes up to 10 y after initial stroke event

in a multi-ethnic European population.

Methods and Findings:

Data were collected from the population-based South London Stroke Register, a

prospective population-based register documenting all first in a lifetime

strokes since 1 January 1995 in a multi-ethnic inner city population. The

outcomes assessed are reported as estimates of need and included disability

(Barthel Index <15), inactivity (Frenchay Activities Index <15),

cognitive impairment (Abbreviated Mental Test < 8 or Mini-Mental State

Exam <24), anxiety and depression (Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale

>10), and mental and physical domain scores of the Medical Outcomes Study

12-item short form (SF-12) health survey. Estimates were stratified by age,

gender, and ethnicity, and age-adjusted using the standard European

population. Plots of outcome estimates over time were constructed to examine

temporal trends and sociodemographic differences. Between 1995 and 2006,

3,373 first-ever strokes were registered: 20%–30% of

survivors had a poor outcome over 10 y of follow-up. The highest rate of

disability was observed 7 d after stroke and remained at around 110 per

1,000 stroke survivors from 3 mo to 10 y. Rates of inactivity and cognitive

impairment both declined up to 1 y (280/1,000 and 180/1,000 survivors,

respectively); thereafter rates of inactivity remained stable till year

eight, then increased, whereas rates of cognitive impairment fluctuated till

year eight, then increased. Anxiety and depression showed some fluctuation

over time, with a rate of 350 and 310 per 1,000 stroke survivors,

respectively. SF-12 scores showed little variation from 3 mo to 10 y after

stroke. Inactivity was higher in males at all time points, and in white

compared to black stroke survivors, although black survivors reported better

outcomes in the SF-12 physical domain. No other major differences were

observed by gender or ethnicity. Increased age was associated with higher

rates of disability, inactivity, and cognitive impairment.

Conclusions:
Between 20% and 30% of stroke survivors have a poor range of

outcomes up to 10 y after stroke. Such epidemiological data demonstrate the

sociodemographic groups that are most affected longer term and should be

used to develop longer term management strategies that reduce the

significant poor outcomes of this group, for whom effective interventions

are currently elusive.

:

Please see later in the article for the Editors' Summary


Vyšlo v časopise: Estimates of Outcomes Up to Ten Years after Stroke: Analysis from the Prospective South London Stroke Register. PLoS Med 8(5): e32767. doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1001033
Kategorie: Research Article
prolekare.web.journal.doi_sk: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1001033

Souhrn

Background:
Although stroke is acknowledged as a long-term condition, population

estimates of outcomes longer term are lacking. Such estimates would be

useful for planning health services and developing research that might

ultimately improve outcomes. This burden of disease study provides

population-based estimates of outcomes with a focus on disability,

cognition, and psychological outcomes up to 10 y after initial stroke event

in a multi-ethnic European population.

Methods and Findings:

Data were collected from the population-based South London Stroke Register, a

prospective population-based register documenting all first in a lifetime

strokes since 1 January 1995 in a multi-ethnic inner city population. The

outcomes assessed are reported as estimates of need and included disability

(Barthel Index <15), inactivity (Frenchay Activities Index <15),

cognitive impairment (Abbreviated Mental Test < 8 or Mini-Mental State

Exam <24), anxiety and depression (Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale

>10), and mental and physical domain scores of the Medical Outcomes Study

12-item short form (SF-12) health survey. Estimates were stratified by age,

gender, and ethnicity, and age-adjusted using the standard European

population. Plots of outcome estimates over time were constructed to examine

temporal trends and sociodemographic differences. Between 1995 and 2006,

3,373 first-ever strokes were registered: 20%–30% of

survivors had a poor outcome over 10 y of follow-up. The highest rate of

disability was observed 7 d after stroke and remained at around 110 per

1,000 stroke survivors from 3 mo to 10 y. Rates of inactivity and cognitive

impairment both declined up to 1 y (280/1,000 and 180/1,000 survivors,

respectively); thereafter rates of inactivity remained stable till year

eight, then increased, whereas rates of cognitive impairment fluctuated till

year eight, then increased. Anxiety and depression showed some fluctuation

over time, with a rate of 350 and 310 per 1,000 stroke survivors,

respectively. SF-12 scores showed little variation from 3 mo to 10 y after

stroke. Inactivity was higher in males at all time points, and in white

compared to black stroke survivors, although black survivors reported better

outcomes in the SF-12 physical domain. No other major differences were

observed by gender or ethnicity. Increased age was associated with higher

rates of disability, inactivity, and cognitive impairment.

Conclusions:
Between 20% and 30% of stroke survivors have a poor range of

outcomes up to 10 y after stroke. Such epidemiological data demonstrate the

sociodemographic groups that are most affected longer term and should be

used to develop longer term management strategies that reduce the

significant poor outcomes of this group, for whom effective interventions

are currently elusive.

:

Please see later in the article for the Editors' Summary


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Štítky
Interné lekárstvo

Článok vyšiel v časopise

PLOS Medicine


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